NOURNEWS - As we get closer to the end of the Syrian crisis, the clock seems to be ticking faster than ever for the withdrawal of US troops. In the years after 2014, US forces took control of parts of northern Syria using militias affiliated with the Democratic Union Party (PYD) and established new military bases in those areas. The remarkable thing for the Americans was that they provided a kind of security fence for their soldiers and other forces of the so-called "International Coalition against ISIS".
Although US forces have continued to provide proxy support to the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in recent years, new developments along the Syrian border indicate that the US military has experienced a different situation in recent months from security threats and resistance from Syrian groups. And this trend is likely to expand further in the coming months. In the past, it was thought that the US and coalition forces were safe from threats and attacks under any circumstances, but in the midst of new developments, especially after US terrorist airstrikes on resistance forces in the Abu Kamal area on the Iraqi-Syrian border, equations are changing.
Just one day after US troops attacked a resistance base late last month (June), a US base in the Omar oil field in eastern Syria was hit by a missile. In recent days, reports indicate that alarm bells have been sounded several times at the Al-Omar oil field east of Deir ez-Zor, where the US military base is located.
There is also evidence that US forces were attacked at the Koniko gas field in Deir ez-Zor at the same time. However, the main argument of the present article is that the current trend in changing the equation in Syria indicates that the fate of US troops in Syria is also on the way to becoming their situation in Iraq, and this trend will change in the near future, and lead to the field equations of Syria; In order to address this argument, three important axes can be raised.
Breaking the security fence of the American troops in Syria
The first and most important consequence of the new trend in missile and rocket attacks on US military bases in Syria can be seen as the removal of the security fence for the Syrian military. In the new situation, the US military is not only unable to defend itself against attacks, but will also face the issue of staying or leaving the Syrian border in the future. If in the past the issue of the withdrawal of American troops from Syria was considered merely an internal decision on which the White House president should take a stand; In the new situation, Washington's withdrawal from the country has become a compulsion, meaning that the Americans no longer have any security margins in Syria, and their remaining at their military bases will be costly, along with significant human and financial costs. The bells are ringing to end the US military presence in northern Syria.
Decreased coordination between Russia and the United States in Syria
Another important dimension in the analysis of the resistance forces' attack on the US military base is the weakening of the level of coordination between Moscow and Washington in Syria. Although the United States and Russia have not had significant tangible cooperation in all the years since the start of the Syrian crisis in 2011, there has always been some kind of mutual respect and unwritten coordination between the two countries regarding the security of each other's military. It has been a deterrent to the non-targeting of US military bases in Syria, but now in the new course of events in Syria, it seems that Moscow's approach to the Biden administration has been adjusted and coordination between the two sides has now been reduced to a minimum.
Syrian Kurds; More helpless than ever
The Syrian Kurds are without a doubt the most important players who will be affected by the stay or withdrawal of US troops in Syria. In the years since 2014, the Kurds have fully depended on the United States for their presence on the ground in Syria, but at historically critical points we have seen that Washington has never backed or betrayed them in the face of Turkish attacks. But it seems that the Kurds did not and do not intend to learn from history and realize that Washington will never support or protect them.
If in the past it was thought that the Americans could defend them, now the security of the US military itself is not guaranteed. Perhaps in clearer terms, the Americans are now more concerned about their own security than the Kurds, so it seems imperative that the Syrian Kurds reconsider their positions of dependence on Washington for security and engage in cooperation and dialogue with the central government.
NOURNEWS