NOURNEWS - Roy Licklider is a professor of political science and international relations at Rutgers University, he has been researching and teaching international relations for many years, especially in the field of civil war. His work includes books such as "Results of Civil War", "Ethical Advice and War Management", "Stop the Killing" and "How Civil War End?" .
New York is currently the most important region in the world In terms of Coronavirus infections
Referring to the state of coronavirus outbreak in the world and the behavior of the United States in this situation, Roy Liklider initially stated: "Now a global epidemic has spread. Every state has something; New York, where I live, is currently the most important region in the world in terms of infection, but over time, we seem to be getting even more involved. We don't have any medicine for this disease nor vaccine, and it probably won't be made for at least another year."
He added: "Meanwhile, while economic sanctions are thought to be a nonviolent way to persuade other governments to change some policies or behaviors without the use of war, innocent and ordinary people are often affected by sanctions. For US leaders, this is a way to increase dissatisfaction among the sanctioned people of the country, and ultimately lead to protests against regime change."
Economic sanctions do not convince governments to change their policies
He continued: "This change usually does not happen. Over the past seventy-eight years, there have been various experiences in different countries saying that economic sanctions do not convince governments to change policies that are important to them. Sanctions often affect the health of the target population by cutting off food supplies, increase unemployment, and preventing the import of drugs or an economic pain."
Superpower countries think that sanctions are a way to show power without the use of military force
He also mentioned: "Recently, efforts have been made to say that smart sanctions are being imposed that will directly affect influential people in the target government, but not its population. These include blocking foreign bank accounts of certain individuals and organizations, banning foreign travel by individuals, and so on. Of course, I don't consider any of them successful. But the authorities think that sanctions are a way to show power without using military spending."
A US invasion of Iran is impossible
Licklider stated: "In the meantime, a kind of military conflict between the United States and Iran is certainly possible, especially in the Persian Gulf. However, this hypothesis may not mean war. A social science definition of war states that war must have at least one thousand deaths a year. I don't expect that to be the case, but in any case, the US invasion of Iran is simply not possible, although some, like the hardliners, may not be afraid to go to war with Iran."
It is more difficult to reach JCPOA 2 agreement
He Added: "If Trump loses the next election, the new government will probably try to reach a similar agreement. However, the situation is different, at least in two important aspects; First, Iran's nuclear program has made significant progress, and second, Trump has shown that the Americans are unreliable, which is why it is harder reach JCPOA 2 agreement."
ILNA