Nournews: Netanyahu’s speech in the Knesset reaffirmed his reliance on crisis-driven politics to stay in power. He spoke of "changing the Middle East" and "continuing the war" , while has failed to achieve his goals after more than 15 months of conflict in Gaza. With widespread protests and political and economic crises, he seeks to divert public attention from his failures by escalating tensions and securing Trump’s backing.
Why does Netanyahu need a Crisis?
Netanyahu has faced multiple challenges, one of the most important of which were his corruption cases. Accused of bribery, fraud, and abuse of power by the court, he has used the Gaza war to shift focus away from his trials. However, the war has not benefited Israel, but exposed military weaknesses and intensifying internal opposition. He now faces pressure from rival parties, public dissatisfaction, and divisions within his ruling coalition.
In this situation, he is using a foreign crisis is an old tactic to strengthen his position. By escalating regional tensions and aligning with Trump, he wants to present himself as Israel’s only protector against external threats. His recent Knesset speech emphasized that the war is not over and that Israel will reshape the Middle East. This suggests he intends to prolong the war rather than end it, using it to overshadow internal crises.
Washington: Netanyahu’s key ally
One major reason for Netanyahu’s focus on the U.S. is Trump’s potential return to power. Their relationship has been built on mutual interests and aggressive policies. During Trump’s first term, Netanyahu secured his support for anti-Iranian and anti-Palestinian measures, including moving the U.S. embassy to Jerusalem and the "Deal of the Century." Now, Netanyahu hopes for the same backing to continue the Gaza war and pressure Iran.
Netanyahu stressed that his recent meeting with Trump was more significant than any previous talks with U.S. presidents. This indicates his heavy reliance on Trump’s support. He also mentioned working with the new U.S. administration to prevent Hamas from controlling Gaza and counter regional resistance. However, even Biden's administration warned Israel that an attack on Rafah could lead to a halt in U.S. military aid. Despite this, Netanyahu appears willing to ignore such warnings to continue the war.
Challenges to Netanyahu’s war strategy
Despite Netanyahu’s efforts to use the war for political survival, several factors could undermine his strategy.
Protests against Netanyahu within Israel are increasing. Families of Israeli hostages and opposition parties blame him for prolonging the war and failing to secure hostage releases.
The economic crisis caused by the war and rising military casualties have fueled public anger.
In addition to this, despite Trump threatening that he will create hell if the captives are not freed by Saturday noon, Hamas, in response to Israel’s violation of the ceasefire, said it will postpone the freedom of Israeli hostages.
This stance shows that the condition of the ceasefire is very fragile and may lead to new conflicts at any moment. On the other hand, Israeli media have reported that Qatar, as one of the main mediators, has protested against Netanyahu’s recent behavior and called for Israel’s adherence to the agreements.
Also, unlike his previous tenure, when Trump unilaterally supported Netanyahu’s policies, the current regional situation has become more complicated. Lebanon’s Hezbollah has strengthened its popular presence near Israel’s northern borders, becoming a source of concern for Tel Aviv. Meanwhile, the continuation of the Gaza crisis may intensify international protests against Israel.
The future of the war and Netanyahu’s position
Netanyahu needs a foreign crisis more than ever to ensure his political survival. His trip to Washington aimed to secure Trump’s support while easing domestic pressure. However, his plan faces major challenges. Internal opposition, an unstable ceasefire, shifting regional dynamics, and Trump’s lack of motivation for unconditionally supporting Netanyahu are among the reasons that could undermine his strategy.
Still, Netanyahu has shown that as long as he remains in power, he will exploit every opportunity to escalate tensions. He knows that ending the crisis would lead to accountability for his failures. Therefore, prolonging the war and creating new conflicts remains his only escape. However, while this strategy may temporarily protect him, it could ultimately push Israel into even greater crises beyond his control.
NOURNEWS