News ID : 202953
Publish Date : 12/8/2024 1:39:39 PM
Vague vision of stability and security in Syria

Vague vision of stability and security in Syria

With the entry of armed rebels into Damascus and the replacement of power in Syria, the first question faced by the Syrians and the global community is how the future of the Levant will unfold and how it will influence the complex developments in West Asia.

Nournews: The final statement by the foreign ministers of Arab countries and the Astana Format was issued last night in Doha, Qatar, during which the necessity of halting military operations in Syria to prepare the ground for the beginning of a political process was emphasized. All those observing developments in Syria agreed that the continuation of Assad’s government is impossible.
The entry of rebels into Damascus and Homs without armed conflict, along with the announcement of surrender by the Prime Minister of Syria and his readiness to transfer power, removed any doubts about the possibility of continued conflict between the Syrian government and armed rebels.
Although Abu Mohammad al-Julani, the leader of Tahrir al-Sham, announced that the Prime Minister of Syria could manage different entities until the official transfer of power, in order to prevent the collapse of the bureaucratic structure and an increase in chaos, it is overly simplistic to think that these measures will prevent further insecurity in Syria due to various reasons.

The armed forces capable of ending the continuation of Bashar al-Assad's government are very scattered, undisciplined, and unorganized, even under the assumption that they are directed by a single command unit.
All these groups agree that they do not want Assad's government to continue, but their views on the characteristics of the future political system differ.
The lack of unified leadership, differing intellectual and political ideologies, various foreign connections, and possession of forces and significant facilities have turned every player in the current Syrian battlefield into an impactful and demanding entity, making it difficult to bring them all into a common process.

The first result of such a process in Syria is the spread of instability and insecurity. This is naturally not desirable for any country in the region, especially Syria's neighbors, and is both threatening and unpleasant.

Because of Syria's unique geopolitical position, it is considered the key to stability and security in West Asia. Any insecurity or instability in Syria will first affect its neighbors and then spread across the West Asia region.

This situation could create a worrying outlook for the region's future and lead to unpredictable developments in the already tense geography of West Asia.

Therefore, the main concern for countries in the region at present is the rise of instability and insecurity in Syria and its potential impact on the political, security, and economic conditions of other nations.

Regardless of the nature and affiliations of the armed groups that now seem to have won against Assad's government, regional countries must understand the sensitivity of the current situation. They should set aside short-term interests and work together to prevent the spread of instability and insecurity in Syria.

In this regard, the main players in the region need to cooperate to establish mechanisms that not only bring security and stability to Syria but also ensure that the people's will and desires are realized in shaping Syria's future political system.


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