NOURNEWS: A glance at the developments over the past 3 years shows that Iran’s approach concerning collaboration with the agency and its reaction to the United States’ violation of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) will form events that are beyond the ambiance created by visible and invisible players in the agency.
This time, three European countries, namely France, Britain, and Germany, have become harbingers in encountering Iran, disagreeing with the US in the upcoming meeting of the Board of Governors regarding the issuance of an anti-Iran resolution. It is the first time in the past few years that a disagreement has emerged and is reflected in the draft of a resolution with the names of the European Troika being listed as its founders.
The gap in the western side has widened to an extent that the US representative has urged the member states of the Board of Governors to abstain from voting for an anti-Iran resolution, warning Europeans that the defeat of the ratification of a resolution against Iran would offer a diplomatic victory to Tehran.
Preparation of new attacks
The events of the past couple of years have shown that the western member states of the Board of Governors have become frustrated with Iran’s approach. Now, the new meeting of the Board of Governors is an opportunity for them to gain control of the ambiance and put an end to the process of collaboration between Iran and the agency.
The Europeans, in particular, see the sudden demise of Ayatollah Ebrahim Raisi, the late president of Iran, and the snap presidential election as an opportunity to stay in the field of encountering and preparing new attacks against Iran. By appealing to clear evidence, the murky and ambiguous atmosphere that the Board of Governors is facing can become clear to some extent.
The question is, what is the goal behind the three European countries’ approach, and why emphasize the subjects of disagreement between Iran and the agency despite the recent understandings? What are these countries' pretexts for sharpening their tone regarding Iran’s nuclear activities?
The answer to the first question is not unrelated to Europe’s concerns about being within the range of Iran’s long-distance missiles. Europeans believe that the US’s exclusion from being at risk of Iran’s missile attacks has added to the disagreements between the two cross-Atlantic allies regarding the dimension and pace of Iran’s nuclear activities, causing the US officials to more freely defend their reasons for not exerting more pressure on Iran in the upcoming meeting of the Board of Governors.
The second reason can be traced to the accident that led to the demise of Iran’s president and the subsequent snap presidential election. Putting pressure on Iran with the aim of impacting people’s votes, urging them to elect a more compromising president, and making the ambiance more radical with the aim of backing him into a corner are among the measures that Europeans think can influence the decision-making process in Iran’s electoral campaign.
Iran’s reaction to the European Troika
What does the West think about Iran’s reaction if a new resolution is ratified against Iran?
Iran has had close and constructive interactions with the agency over the past years, believing in the necessity of addressing disagreements and misunderstandings through conversation and interaction.
It has reached agreements on several cases, including two out of four places claimed by the agency, the agency’s ambiguity concerning 84% uranium, and the imbalance of nuclear material in the Jabber-ibn Hayyan Lab, while holding regular technical and legal negotiations about cases pursued by the agency.
Past experience has shown that the Islamic Republic of Iran, while consistently trying to fulfill its commitments under the Comprehensive Safeguards Agreement, will also use its legal rights and available tools to counter excessive demands and political blackmail. Countries and organizations that do not accept Iran's cooperative approach and work to undermine cooperation should naturally be ready to face Iran's countermeasures and take responsibility for their decisions.
In such a situation, the Western focus on the new IAEA report, which mentions a 10% increase in Iran's enriched uranium reserves over the past three months, alongside the disregard of recent agreements in Tehran by the three European countries, can only result in costly consequences for Western countries.
This is similar to how Iran previously imposed costs on its opponents by starting unlimited enrichment operations and significantly increasing its 60% enriched uranium reserves.
Consequently, the US representative is now lobbying intensively with his counterparts in the IAEA to prevent the European Troika's anti-Iran scenario and the ensuing definite and confrontational response from Iran.
NOURNEWS