NOURNEWS- The story of the war in Ukraine, which during the past four days has lost its first place in the headlines of the Western media to the hot topic of the “Al-Aqsa Storm” operation, has not only not diminished its importance due to its high international impact, but has taken on new dimensions.
In the meantime; The US and its president are still considered to be the protagonists of this dark scene in world history, as Joe Biden continues to play his usual game amid a multitude of contradictions, and although he is strongly protesting against the action of Congress because of the removal of the clause on financial-military aid package to Ukraine, but he has a positive view of not shutting down the federal government following the agreement with Congress!
Recently, “Joe Biden” in a call with the heads of Canada, Germany, Italy, Japan, Poland, Romania, England, France, as well as the heads of NATO, the European Commission and the European Council, assured his allies that despite the removal of the military aid clause to Ukraine in Congress's temporary budget plan to prevent a government shutdown, Washington's support for Kyiv will definitely continue.
Meanwhile, the opposition of many American citizens to the approach of this country's government in the Ukraine war and the erosion of this war, which has also been shown in public polls in the US, has put the Democrats under the pressure of public opinion.
But the main question here is, in what context and metatext can Biden's game in the Ukraine conflict be justified and interpreted? In America’s logic, nothing is more important than the calculation of profit and cost, accordingly, how Biden is calculating these matters in the Ukraine war? How much profit is he gaining out of the war that he is resisting to end this grim war?
The answer to this essential question will absolutely open many knots in the minds of the world's public opinion, experts’ analysts, and other actors of the international system.
There should definitely be no doubt that; The conflict in Ukraine is actually a war between Russia and the US, and from the looks of things, it is unlikely that it will end in less than three years.
On the other hand; The occurrence of this war has practically divided the course of world developments into before and after this war, and based on all the evidence and the estimation of the general analysts, it is impossible to wait for the return of the world and how it was to before this war.
By accepting this unquestionable premise, there is a possibility of two scenarios between Russia and the United States, each of which will somehow affect the course of the future developments of the international system.
The first scenario; is the “America's win-Russia's loss” scenario, in which America reaches its ultimate goal of “the collapse of Russia” with the explanation that in this process, the “collapse of Ukraine” will definitely be achieved by the Russians.
The second scenario; is a “win-win” scenario where the two sides finally stop at one point and each of them, having achieved part of their goals, accepts to end the war, which, of course, Ukraine is the main loser in this scenario as well.
It may be asked why the third scenario of “Russia's win - America's loss” is out of the realm of possibility. The answer is clear; even assuming the victory of Russia, the US, as the main architect of the war, which does not have a physical presence in the field, has not lost anything because not only have there been no casualties or destruction for America, but it has also benefited from an economic point of view.
On this basis; It is quite clear that the United States is definitely looking for the continuation of the war because this war somehow lifted the US off the ground and reopened the closed vital arteries of the US in the international system from various aspects.
In this regard, at least 8 clear examples can be mentioned:
1. The war in Ukraine broke the relations between Germany and Russia, which had been at a high level, especially in the fields of infrastructure, energy, trade, etc., and logically led to the improvement of the level of political-security relations between Moscow and Berlin, so that Germany was removed from Washington's sphere of influence.
2. Leaving Afghanistan as a disgraceful failure had damaged the prestige of America, and it was felt that the atmosphere should be changed. The Ukraine war provided this possibility for the White House in the context of a combined battle and the fourth-wave war.
3. Europe's energy supply, which was provided by Russia, fell into the hands of the US due to the Ukraine war, until Washington, while moving in the direction of changing the geopolitics of energy and even the type of energy consumed by Europe, challenged Russia's hegemony in the field of energy and one of Moscow's soft power tools for using against Europe was completely neutralized.
4. The developments of recent years have led to the weakening of the relations between the two sides of the Atlantic, but the war in Ukraine strengthened these broken ties again so that the American umbrella remains wide over the green continent.
5. The position and mechanism of NATO had been weakened during the past years, and for this reason, the French had proposed the formation of a European army, but the war in Ukraine gave NATO a new life and the plan of the European army was also approved.
6. The war in Ukraine also strengthened the weakened position of the dollar against the euro to prevent the loss of one of the most important tools of the United States in realizing its global agenda.
7. Although the European economy was not stable for many reasons even before the Ukraine war, this war, while intensifying the weakening of the European economy, brought the American economy out of recession and increased Europeans' dependence on the United States.
8. The Europeans have never been necessarily united even at the peak of the power of the European Union, and the US by following the doctrine of “one world, one hegemony”, not only never wanted to accept Europe standing beside itself, but also always sought to strengthen Eastern Europe to control Western Europe, and of course, America also wanted to limit Russia and that was achieved with the outbreak of the Ukraine war.
With these explanations; There is no doubt that the developments caused by the war in Ukraine led to the simultaneous weakening of Europe and Russia against the strengthening of the US, and this is precisely why 11,000 sanctions have been imposed on Russia, and the path of the conflict is practically headed towards a full-scale civilizational war.
Of course, it goes without saying that this process has led to the simultaneous strengthening of India and China in another layer, the main growth of China happened during the Cold War era, and now a golden opportunity has been provided for China, which has been seeking to strengthen its influence in Central Asia for years.
The dispute of strategic corridors that were raised during the recent meeting of the G20 in India should also be completely analyzed in relation to this war and its related developments.
BY: Pooya Mirzaei
NOURNEWS