Nournews: A strategic analysis of recent regional developments—particularly following the recent 12-day war between Iran and the Zionist regime—shows that Tel Aviv’s confrontation with the Islamic Republic of Iran is not merely over nuclear or military issues, but rather stems from a perception of an existential threat. From Israel’s strategic standpoint, Iran is not considered a threat solely because of its technological or military capabilities, but because its political nature, identity, civilizational foundation, and latent potential challenge the security and strategic survival of the Zionist regime.

Iran and the Zionist regime: A clash of identities

In this context, a historical analysis of Israel’s behavior and long-term view of its surrounding environment clearly shows that the Zionist regime is fundamentally incapable of coexisting with any powerful and stable Islamic government in the region. The case of Syria after the collapse of the Assad government is clear evidence of this. Immediately after the political structure in Damascus began to fall apart, Israel launched a coordinated plan to destroy Syria’s military, security, and even industrial infrastructure. The objective was clear: to prevent the re-emergence of a unified, powerful state with the capacity to pose a threat on Israel’s northern border.

Regarding Iran, Israel’s view is no different—except that the Iranian threat is perceived as much deeper, more complex, and more fundamental. Unlike other countries in the region, the Islamic Republic of Iran possesses a combination of synergistic elements that make it a resilient power: vast geography, ethnic and cultural diversity, significant human capital, a geostrategic position connecting Central Asia, the Caucasus, and the Persian Gulf, abundant natural resources, and growing scientific and technological infrastructure. For this reason, traditional containment strategies—whether through military pressure or economic sanctions—have proven strategically ineffective against Iran.

The recent conflict provided the Zionist regime with an unprecedented opportunity to assess Iran’s offensive and defensive capabilities in real terms. Iran’s swift, precise, and effective responses to the aggressions led to a redefinition of threat perception in Tel Aviv. Multiple reports suggest that following the conflict, Israel, with a more profound understanding of Iran’s response power, urgently sought U.S. intervention and mediation to establish a ceasefire. This behavioral shift did not reflect a change in Israel’s overall strategy but was rather the result of a bitter firsthand experience of Iran’s real power.

Defeating the enemy’s strategy by strengthening national unity

Despite this, Israel’s fundamental strategy toward Iran remains unchanged. The ultimate goal is still the same: to dismantle the political structure of the Islamic Republic and consequently create conditions for the fragmentation of Iran’s geography into weak and disjointed entities. From Israel’s perspective, a unified and powerful Iran is a lasting threat to its long-term regional interests. However, a fragmented and internally divided Iran not only poses no threat but could also serve as a platform for Tel Aviv’s geopolitical, security, and economic expansion in the region.

Accordingly, the core of Israel and the U.S.’s psychological warfare and soft regime change strategies is not focused on bombing military sites or assassinating political leaders, but on altering the Iranian public’s perception of national identity, social cohesion, and territorial belonging. The enemy fully understands that Iran’s strategic weapon against all threats is its national unity and sense of homeland—clearly demonstrated in the public response and rare cohesion observed during the recent 12-day conflict.

Therefore, it must be emphasized that defeating the enemy’s strategy depends not solely on expanding military capabilities or regional diplomacy, but on reinforcing national unity, safeguarding Iran’s Islamic-Iranian identity, and continuously cultivating a sense of belonging to the motherland. Any negligence in this area will pave the way for separatist and destructive scenarios.

Iran’s strategic response must go beyond military deterrence. The preservation of national identity, social cohesion, and a deep understanding of the nature of the threat are the main components of sustainable security in the face of the Zionist regime. If Iran maintains these pillars, it will transform from the enemy's greatest strategic threat into the definitive point of failure for Israel’s regional ambitions.

Any rhetoric—direct or indirect—that weakens or ridicules national unity and solidarity undoubtedly serves the enemy’s agenda. Political figures, especially those with access to media platforms and public microphones, must avoid divisive and polarizing language. They should preserve the profound experience of national unity achieved during the 12-day war and refrain from tarnishing it.